International
investors have been warned to pull their cash out of Britain to protect
themselves against the 'cataclysmic' impact of Scottish independence.
Japan's
biggest bank, Nomura, warned sterling could plunge by 15 per cent in
the event of a ‘Yes’ vote – amid warnings over a ‘run on UK assets’
threatening savings and pensions of ordinary families.
It came as it emerged David Cameron has pleaded with business chiefs to publicly warn against Scottish independence.
The
Prime Minister asked company bosses at a Downing Street drinks event
last night to 'highlight the dangers of a Scottish exit in any way we
can'.
One company
chief present told Sky News: ‘The PM emphasised the need for us to do
everything we can over the next nine days to keep the union together. He
wants us to highlight the dangers of a Scottish exit in any way we
can.’
Mr
Cameron's growing concern over the future of the union came after a
YouGov poll this weekend put the independence campaign ahead for the
first time – with 51 per cent of Scots now planning to vote for
separation.
Following
the news, sterling fell to a 10-month low against the dollar yesterday
while shares in major Scottish businesses tanked.
The pound continued to fall today as a second independence poll put the Yes and No camps neck and neck.
Jordan
Rochester, Namura’s foreign exchange strategist, said: ‘We could see a
lot of money being pulled out of UK investments. Sterling could fall at
least 15 per cent in a worst–case scenario. These are scary times.’
Russ
Koesterich, chief investment strategist at the largest fund manager in
the world, BlackRock, added: ‘Everybody has been focusing on
geopolitics, with issues in the Ukraine and the Middle East... but this
is the one thing they were not looking at.
‘Up
until now this was not on the radar of many investors, certainly not in
the US, and if it was people assumed this vote would not pass.
‘If the Yes vote passes, then investors would have to accept a prolonged period of uncertainty for UK assets.’
Stephen Jen, head of SLJ Macro Partners, told the Telegraph that Asian investors could not understand what was going on.
He
said: ‘It is totally bizarre. They simply don't understand it, and nor
do I. Until a week and half ago everybody thought there was a zero
probability of Scotland voting Yes.
‘We
have always assumed the United Kingdom would stay united, but now
everything we thought about the UK has suddenly been tested, and will
have to be repriced.’
He said the situation would be even worse if Scotland refused to take its share of the UK debt, as Alex Salmond has threatened.
Mr
Jen said: 'Sterling could weaken a lot, though just how far it falls
depends on a complicated dynamics. If Scotland tries to keep all the oil
and refuses to take on its share of the public debt, there could be a
run on UK assets.'
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